Miller vs. Martin…Closer Than We Think?

24 Mar

During Lubbock’s First News this morning we discussed whether or not the Mayoral election will tighten up over the next month. In my opinion, if the election was today then Tom Martin would win and become the next Mayor of the Hub City, however, the election isn’t until May 10th and a lot could happen between now and then.

What have we been seeing in the news lately about Mayor David Miller? Anything bad? Has there been anything lately that has made the City of Lubbock look like a laughing stock? The answer is no. On Thursday, the City Council will likely pass a new ordnance requiring registered Sex Offenders not live within 1000 feet of a School, Park, Day Care, etc.. This type of news is usually received well by the voters and will be fresh on people’s minds. Also fresh on minds…dogs. The Mayor has been seen as taking a proactive role on the problem with stray dogs and dog attacks. Again, this plays well. 1 more thing, Red Light Camera’s. We all know that the Mayor wanted them in, but then voted against them. Was it for political gain? Maybe, and to many this would be obvious and they would remember that he was FOR the camera’s and still believes in them. But what if there were just 100 people who thought differently? What if there was a segment that saw the Mayor as a champion for the people? That the Mayor recognized the people didn’t want them and voted to take them out? It could happen.

Chippendale’s, Banned Art, Lingerie raids, etc., are not fresh on people’s minds because no one is bringing it up. Sure I have and so has Robert Pratt and even Ryan Hyatt and yes some others have too. Here’s the problem, the people who listen to LFN, Pratt, Hyatt, etc. are informed voters on BOTH Martin and Miller. They remember the past. The way Miller can catch up to Martin is by hoping his “silent majority” or the un-informed show up to vote.

I know some of you are reading this and thinking you are an informed voter, and still like Miller over Martin. Well this is the second way Miller can catch up. Anti-Martin people. Yes, there are people who voted against Tom Martin 2 years ago because of who he is and I’m pretty sure those people haven’t changed their minds much. To some, Miller hasn’t been all bad compared to what they think may or may not happen under Tom Martin as Mayor. There are people in Lubbock who still don’t like the McDougal’s and they see Tom Martin aligned with them.  People believe that there is machine politics at work and that the McDougal’s are the one’s behind it. And of course, there are just those out there who don’t like Tom Martin and what he stood for while he was at City Hall. They don’t like his personality and they don’t think he’s changed.

As the election draws closer, if the people who voted against Martin are satisfied with their current situation, what makes us think they will change their mind? The people who dislike Mr. Martin aren’t going to change their minds too fast just because of Miller.

As we get closer to election day, I do think we will hear more as both candidates try to remind the voters why they voted the way they did 2 years ago. Martin will try to remind people of all the bad things Miller has done in office, and Miller will try to rally the anti-Martin/anti-McDougal crowd. Miller will have to remind people why they didn’t vote for Mr. Martin 2 years ago. If Mayor Miller does that well and continues to look good in the public eye, well this could be a closer election than many think right now.

What do you think?

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8 Responses to “Miller vs. Martin…Closer Than We Think?”

  1. Judge March 25, 2008 at 7:45 am #

    Pretty good analysis, Chad, pretty damn good! See you later.

  2. A Snake in the Grass March 25, 2008 at 8:36 am #

    Probably as accurate a picture as you will get this side of the election.

    Should encourage Martin supporters to take nothing for granted.

  3. A.Marie March 25, 2008 at 1:47 pm #

    Well said…

    As for myself: being relatively “new” to Lubbock I have not (yet) been exposed to information about Mr. Martin’s past (e.g., his stint at City Hall) or the political machine that moves him. Meanwhile, I’ve been victim of a red-light ticket and laughed when a Chippendale’s dancer in Vegas told my sister, “You’re from Lubbock? I’ve done some time there.”

    At this point, my ignorance of any wrongdoing by Martin makes him my candidate of choice.

    Perhaps one should elaborate on Mr. Martin’s “personality” and “what he stood for”; it would be helpful to all Lubbock newbies as we make our choice at the polls.

  4. Bubba March 26, 2008 at 6:56 pm #

    Thank you for recognizing that there is a quiet majority who are happy with Mayor Miller and who wouldn’t vote for Tom Martin under any circumstance. I have a feeling that some talk show hosts are going to have a stroke when the vote tallies come in.

  5. Chris March 26, 2008 at 10:27 pm #

    This mayoral race reminds me of the South Park episode where the school is voting on a new mascot. The candidates? A douche and a turd sandwich.

    To say either of these men will take Lubbock in the direction it so desperately needs is kidding themselves.

    Also, how is Miller be proactive on dangerous dogs after years of random dog attacks and having the stray animal numbers in Lubbock being nearly as many as San Antonio for a few years now?

    More like reactive…not saying it wont help Miller, but proactive he was not.

  6. Christopher March 29, 2008 at 10:11 am #

    Anyone who votes for Mr. Martin, just hasn’t met him.

  7. Clif Burnett March 29, 2008 at 7:32 pm #

    I personally can NOT vote in city elections BUT have a vested interest in city government since I pay almost all my sales taxes at merchants inside Lubbock City Limits. I left the Republican Party of Lubbock today and will begin transition to being a political activist working with candidates of all parties and my choices in unaffiliated races like Lubbock City Council. I forced a run-off between Chris Winn and Bill Franklin by running a grassroots campaign with a fella named Roger Settler. I now will work with Mr.Settler in his campaign to bring him into the “wildcard” position in Lubbock Mayor’s race. If Gilbert Montes halfway campaigns this 4 person race could be headed to a run-off. I’m hopeful that it will be Tom Martin vs Roger Settler in that run-off. Mayor Miller will have Chippendales,Something Sexy,Red Light Cams and now Visitor’s Center to explain as well as the “wild dog” outbreak that animal shelter can’t seem to get control of. This race could get “muddy” as I fire up the “Tex Slim Mud Slinger” and both Miller and Martin should get prepared for a difficult 6 weeks. I’m in for the LONG HAUL. I did receive over 3700 votes COUNTY WIDE for Lubbock Republican Party County Chairman and so I’ll be trying to convince voters who voted for me to vote for SETTLER.I also am working with local libertarians and democrats to discourage Miller/Martin support.
    Clif Burnett
    Lubbock Republican Party
    Precinct Chair 46(outgoing)

  8. Tony April 15, 2008 at 7:53 am #

    The closure of Jakes Sports Cafe should not have happened. The TABC may have shut them down, but Mayor Miller should have prevented it. Slowly our entertainment options are dwindling to absolutely nothing. I’m leaning towards Martin.

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